Three Internet Careers That Soon Won't Exist

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Earlier this year the New York Times detailed how careers in medicine and law - formerly bankable lifetime gigs - have lost their luster. College grads instead are pouring their resources into trying to create (or join) the next Facebook or MySpace. Maybe it's time to rethink those plans. Digital is going to become part of almost everyone's job.After climbing to the stratosphere, jobs in Web 2.0 are way off their peak. The following Indeed.com chart shows a steep decline in listings that mention social networking, Web 2.0, Ajax and blogs. Naturally, the macroeconomic climate has a lot to do with this. However, when you look at other jobs that are historically sensitive - such as shipping, advertising or public [...]Go to site

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» The iPhone is a Pandora's Box for Radio
Radio is Dead by super-structure The following is also my column in Advertising Age next week.All the talk about one medium replacing another, to date, has largely been just that - talk. Over time new formats tend to be additions in our lives, not replacements for something else. In the 80s, video did not kill the radio star, as the old Buggles song says. Rather MTV made it stronger.Still, an era is dawning where some new media will, in fact, supplant others. Or, more likely, existing information we interact with daily will come from new players that harness the Internet, e.g. bloggers stealing eyeballs from journalists. It's a function of the attention crash. We can't keep adding media to our lives without reaching a saturation point.While TV and print have been hemorrhaging, radio has remained more resilient in the digital age. It reaches 93% of the population for 18.5 hours per week, according to Arbitron. This is only down from 22 hours per week 10 years ago. The US - despite rising fuel prices - remains a car culture. We live in our automobiles and radio still rules here, despite the iPod invasion.This, in part, is because radio serves as a powerful discovery engine for new music. However, the medium today is one-way. That's about to be change thanks to sophisticated mobile devices. The broadband-connected cell phone turns this experience into one that harnesses crowds to become far more personalized. All you need to do to see this yourself is to buy an iPhone and download some of the free streaming audio applications like Pandora or Last.fm.The iPhone 3G and other smartphones like it will change how people access interact with audio. Already, the Pandora music discovery service is the fourth most popular application in the iTunes store. And bloggers like Jeff Jarvis believe that it will disrupt radio. I tend to agree.The cellphone will change the radio landscape by not only establishing a two-way modality but by ushering in new models for advertising that are mapped to people's musical tastes and perhaps locally relevant as well thanks to GPS. This maybe one of the most promising mobile ad formats and is a space to watch.
» Get Productive with Social Media (and Stay Sane)
Lifehacker is one of my favorite blogs. So when editor Gina Trapani invited me to guest blog about how to be productive with social media, I jumped at the opportunity. Here's the intro and summary. The full essay is here.Social media is the equivalent of digital food. It's nourishing, tasty and, for many of us, necessary. However, consume too much and you can get sidetracked and create larger consequences. The good news is you can participate in social media in a way that adds value to your life. You just need to know how to manage it so so that it does not devour your attention???the most valuable commodity of the digital age. Here are three simple steps I take.Step 1 - Set a North StarStep 2 - Apply the Pareto PrincipleStep 3 - Schedule Time to Be Social
» Independent's Day: Digital Nomads Rising
The following is also my column in Advertising Age next week.As I write this column, all the talk is about the recession. There were nearly 40,000 stories in Google News in the last week mentioning the R-word. In addition, a gallon of gas, now at four dollars, may hit seven bucks by 2010, according to CIBC World Markets. Meanwhile, layoff announcements are up 21% in 2008, Challenger, Gray and Christmas reports.Recessions often accelerate social shifts that are already percolating under the surface. One of the key trends I have been watching is the growing number of Digital Nomads.If you spend as much time on the road as I do, you???re likely to run into Digital Nomads. This sector of the workforce includes both independents and corporate workers. They use web-based tools like Twitter, wikis, Google Docs, social networks and Skype to collaborate and work wherever, whenever and however they want.Digital Nomads are already extremely influential. Many of them blog and hang out on sites like Web Worker Daily. In addition, they shun traditional communication tools like email.Luis Suarez is one such corporate nomad who I met recently at a conference in Brussels. Suarez has a successful career in knowledge management with IBM. He lives in the Canary Islands and has virtually eliminated all business email in favor collaborating via social networks. Suarez has chronicled this extensively on his blog.Others are declaring free agency. Charlene Li, an influential Forrester analyst who tracks digital trends, blogged that she is leaving the research firm to go independent. Some believe that the growing ranks of free-agent analysts may spell trouble for traditional research firms.The reality is that many of the tools that workers need to do their jobs are becoming free or low cost. This extends into verticals as well. For example the Google Ad Planner, which launched last week, theoretically could allow anyone to become a nomadic media planner.Digital Nomads are growing in numbers and they will create ripples. This trend will accelerate use of Web 2.0 technologies in the workplace. Over time, this may slow the efficacy of email marketing and accelerate the reliance on social media engagement.However, it goes deeper than that. If you don't allow your employees to become nomadic, they may do so and even compete against you in the process.
» links for 2008-06-23
Study: Having 6,141 friends you don't know may be beneficial"Students using social networking sites are actually practicing the kinds of 21st-century skills we want them to develop to be successful today,"(tags: SocialNetworking culture teens research Stats)We're connecting - and wasting time - on Twitter"The San Francisco-based network has all the makings of an Internet phenomenon with vast potential for social, business, political and cultural applications"(tags: twitter SocialNetworking microblogging)Wikinomics ?? Blog Archive ?? Who needs analyst firms anyways?Fascinating discussion about the potential impact on the big analyst firms from ???Open Source Analysis??? who offer insights up for free.(tags: analysts opensource Trends)Universal Edit ButtonService highlights web sites that are editable.(tags: Wikis icons)Info Overload: The Problem - ReadWriteWeb(tags: continuouspartialattention Overload attentioncrash attention Trends)Info Overload: What Can We Do? - ReadWriteWeb(tags: Trends Overload attention attentioncrash)
» links for 2008-06-22
Dipity"Dipity is the easiest way to make and share interactive timelines about the people and things you care about."(tags: timeline tools)The Microfame Game and the New Rules of Internet Celebrity -- New York Magazine"There???s a new class of celebrity powered by the Internet. The stakes are smaller, but the rewards are within anyone???s reach. These are the rules."(tags: celebrity Web2.0 Trends fame)The ECO-SAFE FoundationMake your blog easily printable and PDF friendly.(tags: environment green Tools Blogs Widgets)
» Measure Traffic with the Google Web Site Trends Bookmarklet
Google yesterday added a significant feature to Google Trends. You can now enter in URLs and get back rather rich site traffic data. Barry Schwartz has a great rundown. I will have more to say about this shortly as I play with it over the weekend. However, in the meantime, I wanted to share this bookmarklet I created. All you need to do is drag the link below to your bookmarks. If you're on a web site and you want to know its traffic is, just hit the link and if it's big enough to be in the Google Trends database, you will get back data.Google Web Site Trends This!
» Get Productive with Social Media (and Stay Sane)
Lifehacker is one of my favorite blogs. So when editor Gina Trapani invited me to guest blog about how to be productive with social media, I jumped at the opportunity. Here's the intro and summary. The full essay is here.Social media is the equivalent of digital food. It's nourishing, tasty and, for many of us, necessary. However, consume too much and you can get sidetracked and create larger consequences. The good news is you can participate in social media in a way that adds value to your life. You just need to know how to manage it so so that it does not devour your attention—the most valuable commodity of the digital age. Here are three simple steps I take.Step 1 - Set a North StarStep 2 - Apply the Pareto PrincipleStep 3 - Schedule Time to Be Social
» Are We Living in a Perfect Storm for Print Media?
I have been giving a lot of thought lately to what impact rising inflation might have on digital media. One strong possibility is that print will get crimped.Consider this a rather simplistic theory for a Saturday morning. However, it's my view that - as if they didn’t have enough to worry about - newspaper and magazine publishers may see a perfect storm accelerate if gas prices continue to escalate. There are three factors at work here - some go beyond the current economic situation.For starters, as gas prices go up, so will the distribution costs. This could have a significant impact on margins. However, there are larger societal factors at bay here too.Second, there's a greater awareness among consumers of their environmental impact. At the Forbes Online Brand Summit earlier this year, Jeff Cole from USC Annenberg predicted that as this broadens, consumers will cut back on print in favor of digital media. I think he's right. Last but not least we have the growing popularity of speedy 3G-enabled smart phones, including the new iPhone 3G. The devices are declining in price while offering a lot more sophisticated experience for reading news.When you combine these three trends the future for print doesn't feel bright. The big media companies know this and they're looking for new models that can be as lucrative as what they have now. The question of course is whether or not there will be enough revenue to replace what they have coming in now, even as their costs decline.
» Digital Nomads Rising
The following is also my column in Advertising Age next week.As I write this column, all the talk is about the recession. There were nearly 40,000 stories in Google News in the last week mentioning the R-word. In addition, a gallon of gas, now at four dollars, may hit seven bucks by 2010, according to CIBC World Markets. Meanwhile, layoff announcements are up 21% in 2008, Challenger, Gray and Christmas reports.Recessions often accelerate social shifts that are already percolating under the surface. One of the key trends I have been watching is the growing number of Digital Nomads.If you spend as much time on the road as I do, you’re likely to run into Digital Nomads. This sector of the workforce includes both independents and corporate workers. They use web-based tools like Twitter, wikis, Google Docs, social networks and Skype to collaborate and work wherever, whenever and however they want.Digital Nomads are already extremely influential. Many of them blog and hang out on sites like Web Worker Daily. In addition, they shun traditional communication tools like email.Luis Suarez is one such corporate nomad who I met recently at a conference in Brussels. Suarez has a successful career in knowledge management with IBM. He lives in the Canary Islands and has virtually eliminated all business email in favor collaborating via social networks. Suarez has chronicled this extensively on his blog.Others are declaring free agency. Charlene Li, an influential Forrester analyst who tracks digital trends, blogged that she is leaving the research firm to become go independent. Some believe that the growing ranks of free-agent analysts may spell trouble for traditional research firms.The reality is that many of the tools that workers need to do their jobs are becoming free or low cost. This extends into verticals as well. For example the Google Ad Planner, which launched last week, theoretically could allow anyone to become a nomadic media planner.Digital Nomads are growing in numbers and they will create ripples. This trend will accelerate use of Web 2.0 technologies in the workplace. Over time, this may slow the efficacy of email marketing and accelerate the reliance on social media engagement in marketing.However, it goes deeper than that. If you don't allow your employees to become nomadic, they may do so and even compete against you in the process.
» Should You Rent or Buy Social Real Estate?
Photo: Abandoned farm shed by serendipitypeace2007, modified under a Creative Commons license.Anyone looking for a place to live invariably needs to first answer this question: "should I rent or buy?" Each has pros and cons. If you rent a house or an apartment, you control your own destiny. It's easy to get out if you want to move. Then again, you're limited in what you can do to remodel.On the other side, owning real estate has advantages too - a tax break, flexibility and potentially a lot income if you flip it later on. The downsides? Lots. You can't easily sell in a down market and you're on your own when it comes to repairs.The same can be said about choosing where to participate online. I had this discussion recently with a colleague who asked me why I am investing all this time in building Twitter's "equity" rather than doing so on my own blog, which I have been writing for four years now. It was a rather thought-provoking question.Running a blog on your own domain (even if you use a hosted provider like TypePad, as I do), carries with it lots of perks. I can remodel pretty much any way I want as long as I follow proper blog protocols. I can track my returns - Google Juice, subscribers, comments, traffic, leads, press quotes, etc. TypePad really doesn't realize the same kind of benefits that I do personally by writing this blog. Then again, it has downsides too. Namely, Twitter has community built in.Investing time on Twitter, on the other hand, truly is starting to feel like renting. When the landlord is doing a good job, everyone is happy. When the landlord is negligent, the tenants get testy and threaten to move. I now view Twitter like a summer rental that you hope doesn't get hit by a hurricane while my blog is casa de Steve. I may be alone here.It seems to me like "renting" online equity is now what's in vogue. Long-form blogging is less prevalent because the competition for attention from pro-bloggers is step. That's why I love the Friendfeed model. It's like a co-op. I can invest in my blog and realize benefits not only here but also on Frienfeed. Or, I can invest in Twitter and see the same return on Friendfeed, though certain provisions apply. You're still beholden to the landlord.I remain a fan of all of these services. However, the big question on my mind of late is this: where should we invest our time and sweat equity online? Will people continue to build equity in sites like Twitter that have community today, but most likely will be gone one day? Or should we look for hybrids like Friendfeed where we can take control? If the marketplace for online equity is as cyclical as the real estate biz, then change is a given.
» Measure Traffic with the Google Web Site Trends Bookmarklet
Google yesterday added a significant feature to Google Trends. You can now enter in URLs and get back rather rich site traffic data. Barry Schwartz has a great rundown. I will have more to say about this shortly as I play with it over the weekend. However, in the meantime, I wanted to share this bookmarklet I created. All you need to do is drag the link below to your bookmarks. If you're on a web site and you want to know its traffic is, just hit the link and if it's big enough to be in the Google Trends database you will get back data.Google Web Site Trends This!
» How Friendfeed will Change PR and Marketing
If it feels quiet here and even on my Twitter stream you are right. It has been. The reason is Friendfeed. I have become hopelessly addicted to the site. I am sharing a lot of links there that I don't pump into del.icio.us or Twitter, so I recommend picking up my aggregate lifestream feed here. However, if you just want my blog posts, no worries, that feed continues to syndicate.(By the way, one advantage to subscribing to my lifestream is that the feed includes comments from other Friendfeed users. I may start to aggregate replies from other services too. To be revisited.)Despite what some think, I am not being paid by Friendfeed to endorse their service. Rather, I have been playing with it extensively... and thinking about it deeply.  Like veteran web watcher Robert Seidman, I too am incredibly excited about its potential.Over the last 12 months two quotes really got me thinking in a whole new way ..."Content finds you." - Dan Scheinman, Cisco Systems"If the news is important, it will find me." - unnamed college studentNow add one more nugget to this cake mix: 58% of opinion elites 35-64 in 18 countries said they trust "a person like me," according to the Edelman Trust Barometer. This has been growing steadily since 2003.People are increasingly turning to their peers for news, information and recommendations. And Friendfeed is more than an aggregation site or a community that's layered on top of others. It's a recommendation engine that surfaces content (both pro and amateur) via your peers - and that's huge. Sure there are things wrong with it, but I believe Friendfeed is the next big thing online for consumers. It could even become the nextGoogle. Still, even if Friendfeed can't monetize and someone else supplantsit, like Blogger, YouTube, Facebook, MySpace and Twitter before it, it has already made a huge impact on the Web.In the next couple of posts I will focus on how Friendfeed is going to change PR and marketing, even if should fade away. In short, it's big. Stay tuned.
» links for 2008-06-08
RSS Advertising Shows Signs of Life - ClickZ"A mounting body of evidence suggests in-feed ad delivery is a growing opportunity for marketers and publishers alike"(tags: rss Advertising Stats)European Online Ad Spend Gains on U.S. - ClickZ"Online ad spend in Europe grew to $17.4 billion in 2007, according to the results of the IAB Europe's annual AdEx survey, released today."(tags: Advertising Stats Europe)MediaPost - Email Preferred Communicator by Consumers For Business Dealing" 67% of consumers prefer email as a primary method of communications in their personal and business capacities, and 65% will continue to prefer email in the future (despite Web 2.0)"(tags: Email Trends Stats)Indystar - Get set to have advertising along for the ride in your car"The digital revolution long promised for your car - known in the automotive business as telematics - has arrived."(tags: Advertising automobiles Telematics Trends)Backlinks Tag Cloud Widget - Show Who is Linking to You as a Tag Cloud (Beta)(tags: Widgets Tags Blogs)Who Blogs Now? - eMarketer"Blogging has gone mainstream, and what was once a quirky hobby based on sharing intimate details with the world has morphed into something used by major corporations and media outlets. "(tags: Blogs Stats emarketer)iPaper@Scribd - Email Attachments Made Simple and Safe | Scribd(tags: lifehacks scribd Email)Convert Your Paper to iPaper | Scribd(tags: lifehacks scanning paper)
» links for 2008-05-21
YouTube Adds a Video Channel for Citizen Journalists(tags: CitizenJournalism youtube)Why I???m kissing Tumblr a sad, sad good-bye ?? 16th letter ?? Blog ArchiveApparently, Tumblr doesn't get a lot of love from Google.(tags: tumblr lifestreaming SEO GoogleJuice Google)Techmeme SearchTechmeme adds search.(tags: techememe memetrackers Search Blogs)Google LatLong: Extra! Extra! Discover the world's news in Google EarthLike chocolate and peanut butter all in one.(tags: GoogleEarth googlenews Google Mashups)
» Why Your Car May Soon Be Driving Digital Advertising
Photo credit: Really Simple Syndication by Shira GoldlingThe following is also my column this week in Advertising Age.If you think there's already enough to distract you in your life, just wait. With Americans spending 100 hours a year commuting, according to the Census Bureau, the internet is coming to your car in a big way -- and not just to the front seat either.Dashboard navigation systems provide a natural entry point. Year-over-year unit sales of GPS devices grew nearly 500% during the 2007 holiday season, according to NPD.Several GPS manufacturers such as Tele Atlas, which supplies systems to the automakers, already display the logos of nearby fast-food restaurants' gas stations. However, the screens are quickly getting more useful -- or cluttered, depending on your point of view. Navigon's high-end model, for example, features helpful restaurant reviews and ratings from Zagat.Soon, devices that can both send and receive data will hit the market. Dash, for example, is integrating Web 2.0 crowdsourcing into its systems, allowing cars to send information back to the company to improve traffic calculations. As mobile broadband becomes more ubiquitous, it's conceivable that these devices will soon talk to your cellphone via Bluetooth and, thus, talk to social networks as well.With send/receive capabilities and overall bandwidth improving, local contextual advertising, perhaps rich-media-based, is just around the corner. Google already allows users in Europe to send directions from the web to maps on connected dashboards. Microsoft is working on a system through its Sync technology to provide ad-supported, location-based information for which users would normally pay. (Disclosure: Navigon, Microsoft and Zagat are clients of Edelman, my employer.)The back seat offers perhaps more immediate promise for TV advertisers in search of new venues. In March Sirius and Chrysler launched an in-car video network called Backseat TV. The subscription service carries kids programming from Nickelodeon, the Disney Channel and Cartoon Network. Kids weaned on the service will surely demand more as the technology gets more sophisticated, perhaps to the chagrin of parents.And therein lies the rub: Marketers will need to strike a careful balance to protect privacy and to not push into a space that many consider sacrosanct. However, given the size and captive nature of the in-car audience, the digital-advertising potential is becoming very clear.
» Open Files: Nine Digital Trends for the Future
Every day a new social network is born and yet another dies. This makes spotting digital trends and tracking them to be challenging at times. However, I have found a system that works really well called Open Files. It was developed by George Stalk at the Boston Consulting Group (an Edelman client). It's become the framework for my latest talk, which I have been giving around the world.Stalk tracks trends by breaking them down into three distinct buckets - faint signals that are here and now trends with real consumer movement and business models, a watch list - new directions that are emerging but may not be ready for primetime, and hallucinations, flashes that, if you squint, might vanish.You can read a description of the nine big trends in my Open Files and peruse my deck over on Authentcities, the Edelman Digital blog. The trends include:Faint Signals: The Cut and Paste Web, The Attention Crash, Digital Curators, Super Crunching and CollaborationWatch List: Living Room 2.0. and Geek MarkterersHallucinations: Digital Nomads and Data Leaking
» Is Friendfeed the Next Big Thing or are We Just Bored 2.0?
Over the last several weeks I have become utterly addicted to Friendfeed. If you're not tracking me there already, you might want to. You can pick up the feed here or just hit this page.Friendfeed aggregates all of my content, including my Twitter updates and Google Reader shared items. I am also using it to share my favorite YouTube videos and Flickr photos, something I haven't done elsewhere. It's basically the mother of all social networks because it can capture everything from you and your friends - real or imaginary.While some complain about the noise, I have found that Friendfeed can be very helpful f you keep it confined to a small group of people who help you accomplish what you're trying to do. Part of this lies in hiding certain social sites and taking full advantage of the powerful but simple feature set. In my case, I use it to keep up with my colleagues and people who generally share valuable links.Still, as great as Friendfeed is, there's a question that keeps gnawing at me: are we looking at the next Twitter or the next Jaiku? What I mean here is Friendfeed going supernova or is that that we are simply bored and looking for the next big thing. Remember, we have a habit of this!I posed the question over on the site this morning: Is Friendfeed the next big thing or are we just bored? Discuss. Eager to hear your thoughts either here or on Friendfeed (or here or here, or wait, here - yikes too many comments in too many places).
» Why Your Car May Soon Be Driving Digital Advertising
Photo credit: Really Simple Syndication by Shira GoldlingThe following is also my column this week in Advertising Age.If you think there's already enough to distract you in your life, just wait. With Americans spending 100 hours a year commuting, according to the Census Bureau, the internet is coming to your car in a big way -- and not just to the front seat either.Dashboard navigation systems provide a natural entry point. Year-over-year unit sales of GPS devices grew nearly 500% during the 2007 holiday season, according to NPD.Several GPS manufacturers such as Tele Atlas, which supplies systems to the automakers, already display the logos of nearby fast-food restaurants' gas stations. However, the screens are quickly getting more useful -- or cluttered, depending on your point of view. Navigon's high-end model, for example, features helpful restaurant reviews and ratings from Zagat.Soon, devices that can both send and receive data will hit the market. Dash, for example, is integrating Web 2.0 crowdsourcing into its systems, allowing cars to send information back to the company to improve traffic calculations. As mobile broadband becomes more ubiquitous, it's conceivable that these devices will soon talk to your cellphone via Bluetooth and, thus, talk to social networks as well.With send/receive capabilities and overall bandwidth improving, local contextual advertising, perhaps rich-media-based, is just around the corner. Google already allows users in Europe to send directions from the web to maps on connected dashboards. Microsoft is working on a system through its Sync technology to provide ad-supported, location-based information for which users would normally pay. (Disclosure: Microsoft and Zagat are clients of Edelman, my employer.)The back seat offers perhaps more immediate promise for TV advertisers in search of new venues. In March Sirius and Chrysler launched an in-car video network called Backseat TV. The subscription service carries kids programming from Nickelodeon, the Disney Channel and Cartoon Network. Kids weaned on the service will surely demand more as the technology gets more sophisticated, perhaps to the chagrin of parents.And therein lies the rub: Marketers will need to strike a careful balance to protect privacy and to not push into a space that many consider sacrosanct. However, given the size and captive nature of the in-car audience, the digital-advertising potential is becoming very clear.
» links for 2008-05-26
InformationWeek - FriendFeedGood example of how the media is moving into Friendfeed.(tags: Journalism Media FriendFeed aggregation informationweek)Is FriendFeed Down?This site says it all. These guys know how to scale.(tags: FriendFeed Fun)YackTrack.com: HomeInteresting tool for tracking conversations across the web. It's not perfect. Also needs RSS.(tags: Search aggregation Comments conversation mashup Tools)Comcast Q&A - FriendFeedComcast customer service is using Friendfeed Rooms. Smart.(tags: comcast CustomerService FriendFeed)BIGGEST DRAWING IN THE WORLDUsing GPS and DHL someone found the "man in the Earth."(tags: DHL GPS geotagging fun)PRWeek - FriendFeedMore media on Friendfeed.(tags: Journalism Media aggregation RSS FriendFeed PRWeek)
» Is Friendfeed the Next Big Thing or are We Just Bored?
Over the last several weeks I have become utterly addicted to Friendfeed. If you're not tracking me there already, you might want to. You can pick up the feed here or just hit this page.Friendfeed aggregates all of my content, including my Twitter updates and Google Reader shared items. I am also using it to share my favorite YouTube videos and Flickr photos, something I haven't done elsewhere. It's basically the mother of all social networks because it can capture everything from you and your friends - real or imaginary.While some complain about the noise, I have found that Friendfeed can be very helpful f you keep it confined to a small group of people who help you accomplish what you're trying to do. Part of this lies in hiding certain social sites and taking full advantage of the powerful but simple feature set. In my case, I use it to keep up with my colleagues and people who generally share valuable links.Still, as great as Friendfeed is, there's a question that keeps gnawing at me: are we looking at the next Twitter or the next Jaiku? What I mean here is Friendfeed going supernova or is that that we are simply bored and looking for the next big thing. Remember, we have a habit of this!I posed the question over on the site this morning: Is Friendfeed the next big thing or are we just bored? Discuss."" Eager to hear your thoughts either here or there.